Savvy Match

Know what every correct score is worth before you trade. In 3 clicks.

The probability of every correct score, match by match. Filter low-probability scores to Lay or high-probability ones to Back, and compare them with the odds before you open the exchange.

Unconditional 7-day guarantee · Cancel from your dashboard

X-Core recording: pick the day, the level and the score, then see the match list with probability and price
Real recording of the platform
200+ leagues
From the Premier League to second divisions worldwide
Any score
0-0, 1-0, 2-1, 3-2 — you choose
3 clicks
From filter to match list
7 days
Unconditional guarantee

The problem

Your prediction isn't the problem. Not knowing what it's worth is.

Correct score pays well precisely because it's hard. Without the probability, the decision becomes a feeling.

  1. 01

    You check the stats

    They seem to confirm the 2-1 you already had in mind.

  2. 02

    The odds look good

    You go in without knowing whether the price covers the risk of that score.

  3. 03

    It ends 1-0

    And the next trade comes with a rush to win it back. The process is gone.

Probability per score. Not average goals.

Common metrics describe the whole match. X-Core describes the score you want to trade.

xG

2.3 expected goals

One number for the whole match.

X-Core

0-1 · 4.5%

One number for each score — and the filter tells you when it's a Lay.

Sep 27, 2026, Fortaleza v Athletic Club. X-Core put 0-1 at 4.51%. The lay odds were 20.00. By the numbers, the trade made sense, and the filter flagged it before you opened the exchange.

Fair odds from the probability: 22.16

A pre-match read; Polymarket lay odds 15 minutes before kick-off. It shows the decision, not the outcome: no trade is guaranteed.

Probability of every score in this match

↓ Fortaleza goals · → Athletic Club goals

Probability of every score in this match
0123
010.8%4.5%1.8%0.4%
115.1%11.5%3.2%0.7%
214.3%8.9%2.8%0.6%
38.3%5.1%1.6%0.3%

Any other score: Fortaleza win 9.9% · Athletic Club win 0.3% · draw <0.1%

Darker = more likely. Highlighted: the score in the example.

Lay with a rule

When a score has a very low probability (≤5%), trading against it stops being hope and becomes process.

Back with context

High-probability scores (≥9%) are listed separately, so you can compare them with the odds before you trade.

Calibration

Are the probabilities right?

If X-Core says 5%, that score should land in about 5 of every 100 cases. The table compares the forecast with what actually happened.

≤5% · Lay

2.30%
2.42%

≥9% · Back

11.97%
11.64%
X-Core rangeForecast (average)Actually happenedScores checked
≤5% · Lay2.30%2.42%72,428
≥9% · Back11.97%11.64%23,145

How we measure: X-Core's current model, Aug 5, 2026 to Oct 5, 2026. Every score forecast before kick-off was checked against the final result, across more than 7,000 matches from the leagues shown on screen.

How it works

Four steps. No spreadsheets.

  1. X-Core: Pick the day and the trade
    1

    Pick the day and the trade

    Lay for unlikely scores (≤5%) or Back for likely ones (≥9%). Matches from the covered leagues load on their own.

  2. X-Core: Tap a score
    2

    Tap a score

    Any correct score: 0-0, 1-0, 2-1, 3-2…

  3. X-Core: The list appears on its own
    3

    The list appears on its own

    Only the matches where that score sits in the range you picked. No search button.

  4. X-Core: Read probability and price
    4

    Read probability and price

    Each match shows the score's probability and the Max Lay: the odds up to which the numbers still work.

I want to try X-Core

$15/month · Unconditional 7-day guarantee · Cancel from your dashboard

Inside

See Savvy at work.

Real recordings of the platform. X-Core is one part; this is the rest of what you open every day.

  • Live

    Every match in play on one screen, with a pressure chart for each one.

  • Tracker

    Your matches side by side, each one's read updated minute by minute. You see who is pushing without relying on the score alone.

    What each card shows

    Pressure chart
    who is pushing minute by minute (home up, away down), with goals, shots and corners marked
    Indicators
    each metric on an axis; whoever dominates gets the number highlighted when it is 15% higher or more
    Goal timing
    the 15-minute band in which each team tends to score and concede, with the current window highlighted
    One-tap lenses
    filter instantly by goal imminent, pressure, underdog or under, with the count next to it
    Live market
    score, market and stats on the same card

    A read to decide with data, not gut feeling.

  • Telegram alerts

    Savvy watches the matches and pings you when your condition hits. You decide.

    Ready-made alerts and the scenario each one looks for

    Over 0.5 HT
    a goal before half-time
    Over 0.5 2T
    a goal between the trigger and full time
    Over Limite
    a goal in the 15 minutes after the trigger
    Both Teams to Score
    both teams score before full time
    Scalping Under
    no goal during the holding time (10' or 5')

    Turn on only the ones you want.

  • Yvva AI

    The AI analyst reads the day's matches and flags the highlights, each with its confidence level.

  • Lab

    Describe your strategy in plain words and the AI builds the filters and runs the backtest.

Portfolios

Ready-made strategies, with the track record open.

Savvy's models pick the entries every day. Each portfolio shows wins, losses and the balance in units — good days and bad.

  • Top 10 of the Day

    The day's 10 best entries across goals, corners and 1X2, picked by the model.

    units
    +13.9u
    hit rate
    68.9%

    186 wins · 84 losses · ROI +5.2% · Sep 9, 2026 to Oct 8, 2026

  • Lay the Underdog

    Lay the underdog to win in 1X2. Up to 10 entries a day, with an odds cap.

    units
    +39.3u
    hit rate
    84.5%

    239 wins · 44 losses · Sep 8, 2026 to Oct 7, 2026

    Average odds 6.0: each entry risks up to 5u. Largest drop in the period: −14.8u.

  • Over 0.5 FT · Compounding

    Pre-match, looking for one goal by full time. Low odds and a high hit rate: built for compounding with bankroll management, not as a single bet.

    hit rate
    96.3%

    311 wins · 12 losses · Jul 20, 2026 to Oct 7, 2026

  • Lay the Favourite's Rout

    Lay “Any Other Win” for the favourite in Correct Score — against a rout. The list of upcoming matches comes ready.

    hit rate
    97.0%

    801 wins · 25 losses · Sep 8, 2026 to Oct 8, 2026

Units at a 1u stake per entry (for lays, the liability is odds − 1), before exchange commission. Past results do not guarantee future results.

Liu, founder of Savvy

Who builds it

Built by a trader.

I trade, and the data I needed arrived late and scattered.

I built Savvy for my own use, to have the read ready before every trade. Then other traders asked for access, and I opened it up to them.

Liu · Trader and founder of Savvy

@liu.da.savvy

Who uses it

Real messages from traders using Savvy.

Messages from users in Brazil. The translation is under each one.

  • Print de conversa: “O meu amigo muito bom teu HT. Que tu criou. Peguei. Vários green esse find.”
    “Your HT is really good, the one you created. I took it, several wins with that filter.”
  • Print de conversa: “Tal do over momentum... 45 minutos já paguei o mês e se tivesse feito trimestral já tinha pago. 2 gols limite top.”
    “That over momentum thing... 45 minutes in and I'd already paid for the month; on the quarterly plan I'd have paid it off already.”
  • Print de conversa: “Que ferramenta top. Tu é doido. Estou pegando só alerta e lucrando.”
    “What a great tool. You're crazy. I'm only taking the alerts and making money.”
  • Print de conversa: “Mano obg pela atenção, e parabéns pela ferramenta. Já indiquei para alguns amigos.”
    “Thanks for the attention and congrats on the tool. I've already recommended it to some friends.”

Individual testimonials. Results vary with method, discipline and external factors.

Everything included. Pick your plan.

X-Core and the rest of the platform, with unlimited filters.

Use it for 7 days. If it isn't for you, I'll refund 100%, no questions asked.
Liu

Liu, founder of Savvy

  • Monthly

    $15/month

    Billed monthly

    Subscribe
  • Quarterly

    $47/quarter

    Billed every 3 months · equals $15.67/month

    Subscribe
  • Best value

    Annual

    $169/year

    Billed once a year · equals $14.08/month

    save $11

    Subscribe
  • Full X-Core — every league, every score
  • Unlimited Lay (≤5%) and Back (≥9%) filters
  • Built-in EV Calculator
  • Live tracker, heatmaps and Yvva
  • Telegram alerts
  • Lab: describe a strategy and the AI runs the backtest
  • Savvy Scores, goal moments and goal probability
  • 20-minute guided onboarding

Unconditional 7-day guarantee · Cancel anytime from your dashboard

Secure payment by Hotmart

Questions

Before you decide.

Isn't this just xG with another name?

No. xG is one expected-goals number for the whole match. X-Core gives the probability of each correct score (1-0, 2-1, 0-0…) and filters by range. xG says "this match has 2.3 expected goals"; X-Core says "this score is 4% — a Lay candidate".

Which leagues are covered?

More than 200 leagues: Europe's top flights, the Brasileirão and competitions across South America, Asia and second divisions. The list follows each season's calendar.

Do I need to be advanced to use it?

No. It's three clicks: the day, the trade (Lay or Back) and the score. The list appears on its own. The 20-minute guided onboarding covers the rest.

Does Savvy guarantee results?

No. Savvy gives you a consistent mathematical read; what you do with it is your call, and discipline matters. Past results do not guarantee future results.

What's the difference between Lay ≤5% and Back ≥9%?

Lay means trading against the score happening — it makes sense when the probability is very low. Back means trading for it — it makes sense when the probability is high enough to justify the odds.

Can I Lay 0-1 in X-Core?

Yes. Pick Lay and click 0-1 in the Away group: matches where that score has a low probability show up instantly. It works for any score — draw, home or away.

Does Savvy place bets for me?

No. Savvy is a statistical analysis platform. It doesn't take bets and doesn't trade for you.

What if I don't like it?

Ask for a refund within 7 days through Hotmart or our support. You get 100% back, no questions asked. After that, cancel anytime from your dashboard.

Next matchday, read the probability before you trade.

Try 7 days, guaranteed

Unconditional 7-day guarantee · X-Core included

$15/month

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